Sunday, December 15, 2013

The new geometries of world power are described with abbreviations like BASIC (Brazil, South Africa


Can you rescue someone from europesimismo? There were decades dora that did not feel so depressed about the situation of the European project. The eurozone is in danger of death. The European foreign policy moves at the rate of a snail drunk. The power is being transferred to Asia. The historical motors of European integration do not work or are resoplando. European leaders reorders the tumbonas the Titanic while giving lessons in ocean shipping to the world. The Eurozone crisis has only just begun. Debt markets do not even convinced the rescue "decisive and overwhelming" for Greece last week. The only thing I was a little encouraged the will of the European Central Bank to start buying government bonds of the Eurozone, but the Greeks and the Portuguese saíndolles still much more expensive loans than the Germans. A prominent strategist of the debt market tells me that now sees two alternatives: either the eurozone moves towards a fiscal union, with greater dora loss of sovereignty of the Member States and a drastic deficit reduction imposed by this external constraint, or some Member States more weak will fall into bankruptcy within the eurozone or leaving it. Then the capital will flee, even more than hitherto, of the weak to the strong, ie, the Eurozone and elsewhere, dora within it, Germany. .
The political repercussions both domestic and international routes dora these two are bloody (in Greece, are now literally). Tensions rise in European societies, but also between them and other States. In particular, it is inevitable to increase the resentment with respect to Germany, the central dora power of the continent, do what you do: whether imposing strict conditions to accept fiscal union, while other risk financing governments, dora like Greece and let Portugal is going to ruin, with the resulting dora increase in capital dora flight to Germany. At best, if the old model to advance the integration-based crisis, dora based on answering the challenges, works again, Europe will be concerned to solve their financial problems and internal financial for years. The great powers of the century, the current and emerging-United States, China, Brazil dora and Russia-as treat European dora pretensions of being a major player on the world stage with the attitude borderline dora contempt. The minimum agreement achieved last year at the Copenhagen Summit on climate dora change, a subject on which Europe claims to be in the vanguard, dora reached the United States, China, India, South Africa and Brazil. Europe was not even in the boardroom.
. Copenhagen was a warning to Europe that are not awakened. The two figures that the EU chose to represent the world are virtually unknown outside dora of Europe. At a recent meeting in St.Antony's College, Oxford University, columnist specializing in international affairs from The New York Times Thomas Friedman said with irony would not be able to recognize the president of the European Council "or even that I sit on his lap ". The new High Representative for the EU Common Foreign and Security, Catherine Ashton, can handle efficiently the Brussels bureaucracy, but when speaking dora with employees in the industry there, there is an account of it will be difficult to build a foreign service Europe. Beijing, Moscow, New Delhi and Washington are not waiting anxiously. For them, life is elsewhere. The United States Barack Obama is concerned dora about its own national construction and then to the Middle dora East and China. The new British prime minister received a telephone call from the president and a laudatory reference to the "special relationship", but Obama has no sentimental attachment to the old continent. dora Your question to Europe is: "What you can do for us today?". .
The new geometries of world power are described with abbreviations like BASIC (Brazil, South Africa, India and China), BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China) and IBSA (India, Brazil and South Africa). In part it is a way to anticipate events that might not occur, but in the market of geopolitics, as in financial markets, expectations are also realities. The European Union remains the world's largest economy. It has enormous dora resources of hard and soft power, still far superior to the big emerging powers. But the trend does not favor, and do not use or much less all heavy. If you want to influence the world and benefit its citizens, should narrow the gap between its possibilities and its real power. But it is not doing. Why? .
From 1945, for over 50 years, there have been five major forces that drove the European project. They were as follows: the memory of the war, a very inspiring personal memory that extended to the generation of Helmut Kohl and François Mitterrand, the Soviet threat against Western Europe and the desire of the peoples of the center and east of

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